{"capped_by_plan":false,"count":4,"disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","enrichment_capped":false,"evaluated_count":4,"generated_at":"2026-09-04T05:50:56","lookback":{"min_winning_years":9,"years":10},"market_failures":[],"markets_scanned":["2"],"ml_remaining_today":23,"opportunities":[{"alignment":{"note":"ML confirms the seasonal edge (both above 60%).","verdict":"aligned"},"bias":"bullish","direction":"long","disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","edge_basis":"win_rate 0.90 x sharpe 1.1 x ml_win_prob 0.85 x 10y history","edge_score":70,"extend_research":{"blind_to":["fundamentals","valuation","news","catalysts","macro/rates","analyst views","upcoming earnings","live price"],"loop_back":"If your findings change the picture, call analyze_symbol again with a tighter window, compare_opportunities to rank peers, or get_pick_track_record for the live forward-tested record.","suggested_checks":["Does an earnings report fall inside the 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-15 window? TradeWave does not track earnings - check your own calendar.","Any scheduled catalyst (product, FDA, guidance, macro print) during the hold?","Recent news or price action that would invalidate a long bias on TSLA?","Is the sector / macro backdrop consistent with a long here?","What do current fundamentals or valuation say versus this purely seasonal read?"],"synthesis_rule":"Keep explicit which facts are TradeWave's (this card) versus your own research. Do NOT invent a catalyst to justify the seasonal edge; if there is none, the edge stands on the statistics alone.","tradewave_provides":"A seasonal + 62-feature-ML statistical edge and the timing for TSLA (long)."},"headline":"TSLA long - enter ~Sep 4, hold 12d. Won 9/10 years, avg +7.0%, Sharpe 1.1.","market":{"id":"2","name":"S&P 500 STOCKS"},"ml":{"ml_score":95.1,"ml_win_prob":0.8452,"pred_mfe_pct":8.834,"pred_return_pct":3.8234},"next_step":{"copy_text":"BUY TSLA market, day order; plan exit ~2026-09-15 (12d seasonal hold).","framing":"TradeWave gives the edge and the timing; you place the trade at your own broker.","headline":"To act on this, here is a ready-to-place ticket:","order_ticket":{"note":"Seasonal hold ~12 calendar days. Size to your own risk.","side":"BUY","suggested_entry_date":"2026-09-04","suggested_exit_date":"2026-09-15","symbol":"TSLA","time_in_force":"DAY","type":"MARKET"},"set_reminder":{"fire_on":"2026-09-03","message":"TSLA seasonal window opens tomorrow.","type":"seasonal_entry"}},"rank":1,"receipts":{"as_of":"2026-09-04","avg_return_pct":6.96,"best_year":{"return_pct":21.12,"year":"2025"},"curve_summary":{"change_pts":10.0,"peak_day":11,"shape":"strengthens into the exit; seasonal index rising +10 pts over the hold","trend":"rising","trough_day":2},"historical_win_rate":0.9,"losses":1,"median_return_pct":7.25,"per_year":[{"result":"loss","return_pct":-1.19,"year":"2016"},{"result":"win","return_pct":8.64,"year":"2017"},{"result":"win","return_pct":2.04,"year":"2018"},{"result":"win","return_pct":10.03,"year":"2019"},{"result":"win","return_pct":7.52,"year":"2020"},{"result":"win","return_pct":0.39,"year":"2021"},{"result":"win","return_pct":10.69,"year":"2022"},{"result":"win","return_pct":6.98,"year":"2023"},{"result":"win","return_pct":3.36,"year":"2024"},{"result":"win","return_pct":21.12,"year":"2025"}],"source":"TradeWave seasonal model, 10y lookback","wins":9,"worst_year":{"return_pct":-1.19,"year":"2016"},"years_tested":10},"setup":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","entry_window":"2026-09-01 to 2026-09-07","exit_date":"2026-09-15","hold_days":12,"timing":{"days_to_entry":0,"status":"window opens today"}},"stats":{"annualized_return_pct":6.79,"avg_return_pct":6.96,"cumulative_return_pct":92.0,"historical_win_rate":0.9,"median_return_pct":7.25,"sharpe_ratio":1.06,"sharpe_ratio_mfe":1.32,"std_dev_pct":6.44,"years":"10"},"symbol":"TSLA","tier_notes":"ML score shown.","verdict":"Strong, consistent seasonal long.","wave_viewer":{"label":"Open and stress-test this exact pattern in TradeWave","opens":"Wave Viewer","pattern":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","hold_days":12,"market_id":"2","symbol":"TSLA","years":"10"},"url":"https://tradewave.ai/app/?o=MnxUU0xBfDIwMjYtMDktMDR8MTJ8MTA&view=evidence","value":"Inspect individual years, change the lookback or PE cycle, adjust the window, compare patterns, and save or share the setup."}},{"alignment":{"note":"Seasonal edge only - no ML score on this setup to cross-check.","verdict":"seasonal_only"},"bias":"bullish","direction":"long","disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","edge_basis":"win_rate 0.90 x sharpe 0.9 x 10y history","edge_score":70,"extend_research":{"blind_to":["fundamentals","valuation","news","catalysts","macro/rates","analyst views","upcoming earnings","live price"],"loop_back":"If your findings change the picture, call analyze_symbol again with a tighter window, compare_opportunities to rank peers, or get_pick_track_record for the live forward-tested record.","suggested_checks":["Does an earnings report fall inside the 2026-09-04 to 2027-02-15 window? TradeWave does not track earnings - check your own calendar.","Any scheduled catalyst (product, FDA, guidance, macro print) during the hold?","Recent news or price action that would invalidate a long bias on NVDA?","Is the sector / macro backdrop consistent with a long here?","What do current fundamentals or valuation say versus this purely seasonal read?"],"synthesis_rule":"Keep explicit which facts are TradeWave's (this card) versus your own research. Do NOT invent a catalyst to justify the seasonal edge; if there is none, the edge stands on the statistics alone.","tradewave_provides":"A seasonal + 62-feature-ML statistical edge and the timing for NVDA (long)."},"headline":"NVDA long - enter ~Sep 4, hold 165d. Won 9/10 years, avg +34.9%, Sharpe 0.9.","market":{"id":"2","name":"S&P 500 STOCKS"},"ml":null,"next_step":{"copy_text":"BUY NVDA market, day order; plan exit ~2027-02-15 (165d seasonal hold).","framing":"TradeWave gives the edge and the timing; you place the trade at your own broker.","headline":"To act on this, here is a ready-to-place ticket:","order_ticket":{"note":"Seasonal hold ~165 calendar days. Size to your own risk.","side":"BUY","suggested_entry_date":"2026-09-04","suggested_exit_date":"2027-02-15","symbol":"NVDA","time_in_force":"DAY","type":"MARKET"},"set_reminder":{"fire_on":"2026-09-03","message":"NVDA seasonal window opens tomorrow.","type":"seasonal_entry"}},"rank":2,"receipts":{"as_of":"2026-09-04","avg_return_pct":34.93,"best_year":{"return_pct":75.87,"year":"2019"},"curve_summary":{"change_pts":21.1,"peak_day":164,"shape":"strengthens into the exit; seasonal index rising +21 pts over the hold","trend":"rising","trough_day":2},"historical_win_rate":0.9,"losses":1,"median_return_pct":39.97,"per_year":[{"result":"win","return_pct":72.95,"year":"2016"},{"result":"win","return_pct":48.68,"year":"2017"},{"result":"loss","return_pct":-44.48,"year":"2018"},{"result":"win","return_pct":75.87,"year":"2019"},{"result":"win","return_pct":21.49,"year":"2020"},{"result":"win","return_pct":16.93,"year":"2021"},{"result":"win","return_pct":69.15,"year":"2022"},{"result":"win","return_pct":49.69,"year":"2023"},{"result":"win","return_pct":31.27,"year":"2024"},{"result":"win","return_pct":7.77,"year":"2025"}],"source":"TradeWave seasonal model, 10y lookback","wins":9,"worst_year":{"return_pct":-44.48,"year":"2018"},"years_tested":10},"setup":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","entry_window":"2026-09-01 to 2026-09-07","exit_date":"2027-02-15","hold_days":165,"timing":{"days_to_entry":0,"status":"window opens today"}},"stats":{"annualized_return_pct":29.02,"avg_return_pct":34.93,"cumulative_return_pct":null,"historical_win_rate":0.9,"median_return_pct":39.97,"sharpe_ratio":0.9,"sharpe_ratio_mfe":1.74,"std_dev_pct":36.91,"years":"10"},"symbol":"NVDA","tier_notes":"ML score not available for this setup - the ML model covers shorter seasonal holds (up to about 90 days).","verdict":"Strong, consistent seasonal long.","wave_viewer":{"label":"Open and stress-test this exact pattern in TradeWave","opens":"Wave Viewer","pattern":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","hold_days":165,"market_id":"2","symbol":"NVDA","years":"10"},"url":"https://tradewave.ai/app/?o=MnxOVkRBfDIwMjYtMDktMDR8MTY1fDEw&view=evidence","value":"Inspect individual years, change the lookback or PE cycle, adjust the window, compare patterns, and save or share the setup."}},{"alignment":{"note":"ML confirms the seasonal edge (both above 60%).","verdict":"aligned"},"bias":"bullish","direction":"long","disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","edge_basis":"win_rate 0.90 x sharpe 0.8 x ml_win_prob 0.68 x 10y history","edge_score":64,"extend_research":{"blind_to":["fundamentals","valuation","news","catalysts","macro/rates","analyst views","upcoming earnings","live price"],"loop_back":"If your findings change the picture, call analyze_symbol again with a tighter window, compare_opportunities to rank peers, or get_pick_track_record for the live forward-tested record.","suggested_checks":["Does an earnings report fall inside the 2026-09-04 to 2026-12-02 window? TradeWave does not track earnings - check your own calendar.","Any scheduled catalyst (product, FDA, guidance, macro print) during the hold?","Recent news or price action that would invalidate a long bias on MSFT?","Is the sector / macro backdrop consistent with a long here?","What do current fundamentals or valuation say versus this purely seasonal read?"],"synthesis_rule":"Keep explicit which facts are TradeWave's (this card) versus your own research. Do NOT invent a catalyst to justify the seasonal edge; if there is none, the edge stands on the statistics alone.","tradewave_provides":"A seasonal + 62-feature-ML statistical edge and the timing for MSFT (long)."},"headline":"MSFT long - enter ~Sep 4, hold 90d. Won 9/10 years, avg +4.9%, Sharpe 0.8.","market":{"id":"2","name":"S&P 500 STOCKS"},"ml":{"ml_score":39.2,"ml_win_prob":0.6819,"pred_mfe_pct":10.6554,"pred_return_pct":2.7649},"next_step":{"copy_text":"BUY MSFT market, day order; plan exit ~2026-12-02 (90d seasonal hold).","framing":"TradeWave gives the edge and the timing; you place the trade at your own broker.","headline":"To act on this, here is a ready-to-place ticket:","order_ticket":{"note":"Seasonal hold ~90 calendar days. Size to your own risk.","side":"BUY","suggested_entry_date":"2026-09-04","suggested_exit_date":"2026-12-02","symbol":"MSFT","time_in_force":"DAY","type":"MARKET"},"set_reminder":{"fire_on":"2026-09-03","message":"MSFT seasonal window opens tomorrow.","type":"seasonal_entry"}},"rank":3,"receipts":{"as_of":"2026-09-04","avg_return_pct":4.89,"best_year":{"return_pct":10.89,"year":"2023"},"curve_summary":{"change_pts":10.3,"peak_day":85,"shape":"strengthens into the exit; seasonal index rising +10 pts over the hold","trend":"rising","trough_day":28},"historical_win_rate":0.9,"losses":1,"median_return_pct":4.58,"per_year":[{"result":"win","return_pct":3.54,"year":"2016"},{"result":"win","return_pct":10.7,"year":"2017"},{"result":"win","return_pct":0.77,"year":"2018"},{"result":"win","return_pct":9.03,"year":"2019"},{"result":"win","return_pct":0.79,"year":"2020"},{"result":"win","return_pct":9.96,"year":"2021"},{"result":"win","return_pct":0.98,"year":"2022"},{"result":"win","return_pct":10.89,"year":"2023"},{"result":"win","return_pct":5.61,"year":"2024"},{"result":"loss","return_pct":-3.36,"year":"2025"}],"source":"TradeWave seasonal model, 10y lookback","wins":9,"worst_year":{"return_pct":-3.36,"year":"2025"},"years_tested":10},"setup":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","entry_window":"2026-09-01 to 2026-09-07","exit_date":"2026-12-02","hold_days":90,"timing":{"days_to_entry":0,"status":"window opens today"}},"stats":{"annualized_return_pct":4.78,"avg_return_pct":4.89,"cumulative_return_pct":59.0,"historical_win_rate":0.9,"median_return_pct":4.58,"sharpe_ratio":0.77,"sharpe_ratio_mfe":1.91,"std_dev_pct":5.08,"years":"10"},"symbol":"MSFT","tier_notes":"ML score shown.","verdict":"Strong, consistent seasonal long.","wave_viewer":{"label":"Open and stress-test this exact pattern in TradeWave","opens":"Wave Viewer","pattern":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","hold_days":90,"market_id":"2","symbol":"MSFT","years":"10"},"url":"https://tradewave.ai/app/?o=MnxNU0ZUfDIwMjYtMDktMDR8OTB8MTA&view=evidence","value":"Inspect individual years, change the lookback or PE cycle, adjust the window, compare patterns, and save or share the setup."}},{"alignment":{"note":"Seasonal edge only - no ML score on this setup to cross-check.","verdict":"seasonal_only"},"bias":"bullish","direction":"long","disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","edge_basis":"win_rate 0.90 x sharpe 0.8 x 10y history","edge_score":68,"extend_research":{"blind_to":["fundamentals","valuation","news","catalysts","macro/rates","analyst views","upcoming earnings","live price"],"loop_back":"If your findings change the picture, call analyze_symbol again with a tighter window, compare_opportunities to rank peers, or get_pick_track_record for the live forward-tested record.","suggested_checks":["Does an earnings report fall inside the 2026-09-04 to 2027-08-16 window? TradeWave does not track earnings - check your own calendar.","Any scheduled catalyst (product, FDA, guidance, macro print) during the hold?","Recent news or price action that would invalidate a long bias on AAPL?","Is the sector / macro backdrop consistent with a long here?","What do current fundamentals or valuation say versus this purely seasonal read?"],"synthesis_rule":"Keep explicit which facts are TradeWave's (this card) versus your own research. Do NOT invent a catalyst to justify the seasonal edge; if there is none, the edge stands on the statistics alone.","tradewave_provides":"A seasonal + 62-feature-ML statistical edge and the timing for AAPL (long)."},"headline":"AAPL long - enter ~Sep 4, hold 347d. Won 9/10 years, avg +31.5%, Sharpe 0.8.","market":{"id":"2","name":"S&P 500 STOCKS"},"ml":null,"next_step":{"copy_text":"BUY AAPL market, day order; plan exit ~2027-08-16 (347d seasonal hold).","framing":"TradeWave gives the edge and the timing; you place the trade at your own broker.","headline":"To act on this, here is a ready-to-place ticket:","order_ticket":{"note":"Seasonal hold ~347 calendar days. Size to your own risk.","side":"BUY","suggested_entry_date":"2026-09-04","suggested_exit_date":"2027-08-16","symbol":"AAPL","time_in_force":"DAY","type":"MARKET"},"set_reminder":{"fire_on":"2026-09-03","message":"AAPL seasonal window opens tomorrow.","type":"seasonal_entry"}},"rank":4,"receipts":{"as_of":"2026-09-04","avg_return_pct":31.48,"best_year":{"return_pct":121.32,"year":"2019"},"curve_summary":{"change_pts":46.5,"peak_day":346,"shape":"strengthens into the exit; seasonal index rising +46 pts over the hold","trend":"rising","trough_day":14},"historical_win_rate":0.9,"losses":1,"median_return_pct":22.75,"per_year":[{"result":"win","return_pct":52.08,"year":"2016"},{"result":"win","return_pct":33.6,"year":"2017"},{"result":"loss","return_pct":-8.17,"year":"2018"},{"result":"win","return_pct":121.32,"year":"2019"},{"result":"win","return_pct":25.74,"year":"2020"},{"result":"win","return_pct":11.05,"year":"2021"},{"result":"win","return_pct":14.94,"year":"2022"},{"result":"win","return_pct":19.77,"year":"2023"},{"result":"win","return_pct":5.03,"year":"2024"},{"result":"win","return_pct":27.92,"year":"2025"}],"source":"TradeWave seasonal model, 10y lookback","wins":9,"worst_year":{"return_pct":-8.17,"year":"2018"},"years_tested":10},"setup":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","entry_window":"2026-09-01 to 2026-09-07","exit_date":"2027-08-16","hold_days":347,"timing":{"days_to_entry":0,"status":"window opens today"}},"stats":{"annualized_return_pct":26.71,"avg_return_pct":31.48,"cumulative_return_pct":966.0,"historical_win_rate":0.9,"median_return_pct":22.75,"sharpe_ratio":0.77,"sharpe_ratio_mfe":0.99,"std_dev_pct":35.95,"years":"10"},"symbol":"AAPL","tier_notes":"ML score not available for this setup - the ML model covers shorter seasonal holds (up to about 90 days).","verdict":"Strong, consistent seasonal long.","wave_viewer":{"label":"Open and stress-test this exact pattern in TradeWave","opens":"Wave Viewer","pattern":{"entry_date":"2026-09-04","hold_days":347,"market_id":"2","symbol":"AAPL","years":"10"},"url":"https://tradewave.ai/app/?o=MnxBQVBMfDIwMjYtMDktMDR8MzQ3fDEw&view=evidence","value":"Inspect individual years, change the lookback or PE cycle, adjust the window, compare patterns, and save or share the setup."}}],"rank_by":"sharpe","shown_of_evaluated":"4 of 4","summary":"Evaluated 4 candidates - showing 4 ranked seasonal setups, 4 with a high-conviction seasonal pattern.","view":"full","window":"now"}