{"capped_by_plan":false,"count":2,"disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","enrichment_capped":false,"evaluated_count":2,"generated_at":"2026-07-21T03:42:54","lookback":{"min_winning_years":9,"years":10},"market_failures":[],"markets_scanned":["2"],"ml_remaining_today":24,"opportunities":[{"alignment":{"note":"Seasonal edge only - no ML score on this setup to cross-check.","verdict":"seasonal_only"},"bias":"bullish","direction":"long","disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","edge_basis":"win_rate 0.90 x sharpe 0.9 x 10y history","edge_score":70,"extend_research":{"blind_to":["fundamentals","valuation","news","catalysts","macro/rates","analyst views","upcoming earnings","live price"],"loop_back":"If your findings change the picture, call analyze_symbol again with a tighter window, compare_opportunities to rank peers, or get_pick_track_record for the live forward-tested record.","suggested_checks":["Does an earnings report fall inside the 2026-07-21 to 2027-07-15 window? TradeWave does not track earnings - check your own calendar.","Any scheduled catalyst (product, FDA, guidance, macro print) during the hold?","Recent news or price action that would invalidate a long bias on AAPL?","Is the sector / macro backdrop consistent with a long here?","What do current fundamentals or valuation say versus this purely seasonal read?"],"synthesis_rule":"Keep explicit which facts are TradeWave's (this card) versus your own research. Do NOT invent a catalyst to justify the seasonal edge; if there is none, the edge stands on the statistics alone.","tradewave_provides":"A seasonal + 62-feature-ML statistical edge and the timing for AAPL (long)."},"headline":"AAPL long - enter ~Jul 21, hold 359d. Won 9/10 years, avg +30.7%, Sharpe 0.9.","market":{"id":"2","name":"S&P 500 STOCKS"},"ml":null,"next_step":{"copy_text":"BUY AAPL market, day order; plan exit ~2027-07-15 (359d seasonal hold).","framing":"TradeWave gives the edge and the timing; you place the trade at your own broker.","headline":"To act on this, here is a ready-to-place ticket:","order_ticket":{"note":"Seasonal hold ~359 calendar days. Size to your own risk.","side":"BUY","suggested_entry_date":"2026-07-21","suggested_exit_date":"2027-07-15","symbol":"AAPL","time_in_force":"DAY","type":"MARKET"},"set_reminder":{"fire_on":"2026-07-20","message":"AAPL seasonal window opens tomorrow.","type":"seasonal_entry"}},"rank":1,"receipts":{"as_of":"2026-07-21","avg_return_pct":30.69,"best_year":{"return_pct":90.89,"year":"2019"},"curve_summary":{"change_pts":57.8,"peak_day":359,"shape":"strengthens into the exit; seasonal index rising +58 pts over the hold","trend":"rising","trough_day":3},"historical_win_rate":0.9,"losses":1,"median_return_pct":25.2,"per_year":[{"result":"win","return_pct":53.3,"year":"2016"},{"result":"win","return_pct":29.02,"year":"2017"},{"result":"win","return_pct":8.73,"year":"2018"},{"result":"win","return_pct":90.89,"year":"2019"},{"result":"win","return_pct":54.1,"year":"2020"},{"result":"win","return_pct":3.87,"year":"2021"},{"result":"win","return_pct":25.62,"year":"2022"},{"result":"win","return_pct":22.77,"year":"2023"},{"result":"loss","return_pct":-6.19,"year":"2024"},{"result":"win","return_pct":54.74,"year":"2025"}],"source":"TradeWave seasonal model, 10y lookback","wins":9,"worst_year":{"return_pct":-6.19,"year":"2024"},"years_tested":10},"setup":{"entry_date":"2026-07-21","entry_window":"2026-07-18 to 2026-07-24","exit_date":"2027-07-15","hold_days":359,"timing":{"days_to_entry":0,"status":"window opens today"}},"stats":{"annualized_return_pct":30.85,"avg_return_pct":30.69,"cumulative_return_pct":null,"historical_win_rate":0.9,"median_return_pct":25.2,"sharpe_ratio":0.93,"sharpe_ratio_mfe":1.51,"std_dev_pct":29.49,"years":"10"},"symbol":"AAPL","tier_notes":"ML score not available for this setup - the ML model covers shorter seasonal holds (up to about 90 days).","verdict":"Strong, consistent seasonal long.","wave_viewer":{"label":"Open and stress-test this exact pattern in TradeWave","opens":"Wave Viewer","pattern":{"entry_date":"2026-07-21","hold_days":359,"market_id":"2","symbol":"AAPL","years":"10"},"url":"https://tradewave.ai/app/?o=MnxBQVBMfDIwMjYtMDctMjF8MzU5fDEw&view=evidence","value":"Inspect individual years, change the lookback or PE cycle, adjust the window, compare patterns, and save or share the setup."}},{"alignment":{"note":"Seasonal edge only - no ML score on this setup to cross-check.","verdict":"seasonal_only"},"bias":"bullish","direction":"long","disclaimer":"Educational seasonal pattern + ML research, not personalized investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Past performance is not indicative of future results.","edge_basis":"win_rate 0.90 x sharpe 0.9 x 10y history","edge_score":70,"extend_research":{"blind_to":["fundamentals","valuation","news","catalysts","macro/rates","analyst views","upcoming earnings","live price"],"loop_back":"If your findings change the picture, call analyze_symbol again with a tighter window, compare_opportunities to rank peers, or get_pick_track_record for the live forward-tested record.","suggested_checks":["Does an earnings report fall inside the 2026-07-21 to 2027-02-15 window? TradeWave does not track earnings - check your own calendar.","Any scheduled catalyst (product, FDA, guidance, macro print) during the hold?","Recent news or price action that would invalidate a long bias on NVDA?","Is the sector / macro backdrop consistent with a long here?","What do current fundamentals or valuation say versus this purely seasonal read?"],"synthesis_rule":"Keep explicit which facts are TradeWave's (this card) versus your own research. Do NOT invent a catalyst to justify the seasonal edge; if there is none, the edge stands on the statistics alone.","tradewave_provides":"A seasonal + 62-feature-ML statistical edge and the timing for NVDA (long)."},"headline":"NVDA long - enter ~Jul 21, hold 209d. Won 9/10 years, avg +38.5%, Sharpe 0.9.","market":{"id":"2","name":"S&P 500 STOCKS"},"ml":null,"next_step":{"copy_text":"BUY NVDA market, day order; plan exit ~2027-02-15 (209d seasonal hold).","framing":"TradeWave gives the edge and the timing; you place the trade at your own broker.","headline":"To act on this, here is a ready-to-place ticket:","order_ticket":{"note":"Seasonal hold ~209 calendar days. Size to your own risk.","side":"BUY","suggested_entry_date":"2026-07-21","suggested_exit_date":"2027-02-15","symbol":"NVDA","time_in_force":"DAY","type":"MARKET"},"set_reminder":{"fire_on":"2026-07-20","message":"NVDA seasonal window opens tomorrow.","type":"seasonal_entry"}},"rank":2,"receipts":{"as_of":"2026-07-21","avg_return_pct":38.5,"best_year":{"return_pct":105.5,"year":"2016"},"curve_summary":{"change_pts":27.6,"peak_day":209,"shape":"strengthens into the exit; seasonal index rising +28 pts over the hold","trend":"rising","trough_day":9},"historical_win_rate":0.9,"losses":1,"median_return_pct":41.71,"per_year":[{"result":"win","return_pct":105.5,"year":"2016"},{"result":"win","return_pct":46.87,"year":"2017"},{"result":"loss","return_pct":-36.82,"year":"2018"},{"result":"win","return_pct":73.41,"year":"2019"},{"result":"win","return_pct":48.51,"year":"2020"},{"result":"win","return_pct":36.54,"year":"2021"},{"result":"win","return_pct":26.19,"year":"2022"},{"result":"win","return_pct":64.01,"year":"2023"},{"result":"win","return_pct":12.86,"year":"2024"},{"result":"win","return_pct":7.94,"year":"2025"}],"source":"TradeWave seasonal model, 10y lookback","wins":9,"worst_year":{"return_pct":-36.82,"year":"2018"},"years_tested":10},"setup":{"entry_date":"2026-07-21","entry_window":"2026-07-18 to 2026-07-24","exit_date":"2027-02-15","hold_days":209,"timing":{"days_to_entry":0,"status":"window opens today"}},"stats":{"annualized_return_pct":32.68,"avg_return_pct":38.5,"cumulative_return_pct":null,"historical_win_rate":0.9,"median_return_pct":41.71,"sharpe_ratio":0.92,"sharpe_ratio_mfe":1.51,"std_dev_pct":39.37,"years":"10"},"symbol":"NVDA","tier_notes":"ML score not available for this setup - the ML model covers shorter seasonal holds (up to about 90 days).","verdict":"Strong, consistent seasonal long.","wave_viewer":{"label":"Open and stress-test this exact pattern in TradeWave","opens":"Wave Viewer","pattern":{"entry_date":"2026-07-21","hold_days":209,"market_id":"2","symbol":"NVDA","years":"10"},"url":"https://tradewave.ai/app/?o=MnxOVkRBfDIwMjYtMDctMjF8MjA5fDEw&view=evidence","value":"Inspect individual years, change the lookback or PE cycle, adjust the window, compare patterns, and save or share the setup."}}],"rank_by":"sharpe","shown_of_evaluated":"2 of 2","summary":"Evaluated 2 candidates - showing 2 ranked seasonal setups, 2 with a high-conviction seasonal pattern.","view":"full","window":"now"}